FIFA Cup France vs Senegal ML Prediction Model
About this project
Multi-feature logistic regression with competition importance weighting (World Cup and tournament matches weighted up to 3× higher than friendlies) and exponential recency decay applied to match history pulled from football-data.org. Wraps the model in Platt scaling via CalibratedClassifierCV for better-calibrated probabilities, pulls squad size from the teams endpoint as a depth feature, and runs a sensitivity analysis sweeping the WC weight multiplier across 7 values. Outputs form trend charts, competition mix breakdown, aggregate stat comparisons, and a sensitivity curve for their June 16 World Cup 2026 Group I matchup.
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